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Collapse Of Global Stocks? Welcome To The Global Systemic Crisis Impact Phase (LEAP/E2020)

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  What lags behind the ongoing stock crisis? This question is in the air these days due to global stocks' current rout.

  LEAP/E2020 -- Decoded News

  March 6, 2007 -- What lags behind the ongoing stock crisis? This question is in the air these days due to global stocks' current rout.

  Answers vary according to sources. But in general they relate to the usual stance aimed at preventing any panic from being triggered:

  -- "Everything is fine," such as U.S. Fed President Ben Bernanke's declares.

  -- "It is nothing but a sound correction," as some financial experts on private banks and stock markets would like to make us believe.

  -- "Nothing serious since the global economy is sound," according to what some economists pretend in mainstream media. Others on the contrary conclude to highly negative fundamental trends but they remain vague on how and when.

  For a year now, the readers of GEAB have been able to anticipate step by step the whole process that led to the current situation.

  A year ago precisely, in the second issue of GEAB, LEAP/E2020's research team anticipated that spring 2006 (and the Fed's decision to stop publishing M3) would mark the entry into the triggering phase of a global systemic crisis (namely illustrated by the bursting of the US housing bubble before summer and by a EuroDollar exchange rate climbing above 1.30 by the end of the year 2006).

  Nine months ago, in GEAB's fifth issue released in May 2006, they warned that June 2006 would mark the entry into a phase of acceleration of the global systemic crisis (a few days later global stocks were recording a first severe blow).

  Five months ago, in GEAB N°8, they predicted that the entry into the phase of impact of the global systemic crisis would take place in November (just then, the EuroDollar exchange rate climbed above 1.30).

  Four months ago, in GEAB N°9, they described that the US consumer's insolvency (today proven) was about to initiate a recession for the US in 2007.

  Three months ago, in GEAB N°10, they anticipated the beginning of a major crisis in the financial and banking sector, precisely due to the problem of sub-prime mortgage loans. In the same issue, they indicated that the year 2007 would witness the unfolding of a trade war between the US and Asia (in particular China). Strangely enough, it is from Shanghai that the final blow was struck on global financial markets which saw their banking and financial assets plunge).

  Two months ago, in GEAB N°11, they warned that a « very great depression » would crash on the US as early as spring 2007 (today, even Alan Greenspan is beginning to use the word “recession”).

  A month ago, in GEAB N°12, they described the sequence of events that would characterise this « very great depression » in the coming months (ranging from the end of the Yen-carry trade, to the evolution of US interest rates and the banking and financial crisis, all themes that fill mainstream media pages today).

  Thus, the readers of GEAB have long been able not only to reply to questions such as « what lags behind the current stock crisis ? », but also to get prepared, bearing in mind the great lines of its unfolding, strategic dates and main consequences, including each month a new anticipation about the upcoming period of time.

  To bet on markets de facto global, to anticipate decisions made in a context now international, it is necessary to get a global picture integrating all the dimensions of the heavy trends at work all over the planet (economy, finance, strategy, diplomacy, politics, ...) in order to avoid being “surprised” by great changes. This is the added-value, one specifically “made in Europe,” provided each month by GEAB to its subscribers, whether they are institutional operators or private investors, governments or international media, experts or simple citizens.

  In GEAB's upcoming issue (GEAB N°13, to be released on March 16th), LEAP/E2020's team of researchers will provide analyses on the next stages of the crisis process for their readers to maintain their many month advantage on the course of events.

Subscribe GEAB

In the same category:

Notice: Europe 2020's new website

GEAB N°12 is available! Global systemic crisis - April 2007: Inflexion point of the phase of impact / US economy enters recession

Red Kite, Global Alpha, Goldman Sachs: First systemic failures in the financial system

GEAB Archives Offer - First semester 2006: GEAB's six first issues for 50 euros

Dollar crisis / Euro above 1.30 USD: A message from Franck Biancheri, Director of research at LEAP/E2020

French prospectivist, Pierre Gonod, analyses LEAP's work of anticipation

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  • Created
    Tuesday, March 06 2007
  • Last modified
    Wednesday, November 06 2013
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